US Real GDP YoY

2.3% for 2024Q4

Provides real GDP year-on-year chart, GARCH model forecast table for each quarter and real GDP growth year-on-year chart in US
Conclusion Quality (latest 10 Quarters)
Volatility Signal

Quarter

Value

GARCH Model Predicted

AR1

AR2
2024Q4
2.3
Increased in the next period
2.28
2.25
2024Q3
2.3
Neutral
2.56
2.55
2024Q2
3.0
Increased in the next period
2.57
2.55
2024Q1
3.0
Neutral
2.64
2.61
2023Q4
3.1
Neutral
2.71
2.69
2023Q4
3.3
Increased in the next period
2.54
2.55
2023Q3
2.9
Increased in the next period
2.33
2.36
2023Q2
2.4
Increased in the next period
2.02
2.07
2023Q1
1.7
Neutral
1.65
1.65
2022Q4
0.7
Neutral
2.07
2.07
2022Q3
1.7
Neutral
2.13
2.09
2022Q2
1.9
Neutral
2.81
2.76
2022Q1
3.6
Neutral
3.50
3.47
2021Q4
5.4
Increased in the next period
3.12
1.29
2021Q3
4.7
Neutral
6.55
8.00
2021Q2
11.9
Neutral
1.74
1.78
2021Q1
1.6
Neutral
2020Q4
-1.1
Neutral
2020Q3
-1.5
Neutral
2020Q2
-7.5
Neutral
US Real GDP YoY Chart